Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.5	2.85	2.65
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.7	2.94	2.82
	2.57	3.04	2.67
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
35.3%

Draw
31.1%

Pontevedra
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontevedra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontevedra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Ceuta - Pontevedra Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pontevedra will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Ceuta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pontevedra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.11.22	Mérida AD - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Utrera - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Ceuta - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Ceuta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.11.22	Pontevedra - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Manresa - Pontevedra	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pontevedra - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Leonesa - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL

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