Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 36

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Ceuta		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.5	4.51	5.92
	1.47	4.3	6.15
	1.53	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.75)	4.07 ↑ (3.3)	5.6 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ceuta
61.2%

Draw
22.5%

Talavera de la Reina
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Ceuta - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Talavera will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.05.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta	0:3 ✺
30.04.23	Ceuta - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Ceuta - Badajoz	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLLWT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.05.23	Talavera de la Reina - Pontevedra	4:2 ✺
30.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:7 ✺
22.04.23	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Linense - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Ceuta	2:0

Upcoming Matches