Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Chacaritas		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	3.25	1.7
	5.34	3.46	1.72
				Watch
	6	3.75	1.5
	4.88	3.44	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↓ (5.67)	3.48 ↓ (3.54)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
17.7%

Draw
26.4%

Leones del Norte
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

25.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

24.8%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Chacaritas - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Chacaritas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leones del Norte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Leones del Norte is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.07.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	6:0 ✺
25.06.25	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	San Antonio - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.07.25	Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
24.06.25	Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Cumbayá - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
06.05.25	Leones del Norte - Chacaritas	1:0
29.10.24	Leones del Norte - Chacaritas	2:0
10.07.24	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:1
19.06.24	Leones del Norte - Chacaritas	2:0
01.05.24	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:0

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