Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)


	Chacaritas		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.1
	3.35	3.5	1.94	Watch
	2.92	3.38	2.24
	4.09	3.71	1.81	Watch
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.28	3.4	2
	3.35	3.5	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.99)	3.47 ↓ (3.78)	2.02 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
28.1%

Draw
26.4%

Vinotinto
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Chacaritas - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chacaritas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Vinotinto will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Ushina K. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Lino H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 0 - 3, Lugo J. ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, Huilca J. ⚽,
74', 🟥,
89', 1 - 4, Belizaire J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.10.24	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	4:2 ✺
09.10.24	Chacaritas - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	San Antonio - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Chacaritas - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Manta - Chacaritas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTTL
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.10.24	Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	5:2 ✺
12.10.24	Leones del Norte - Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Vargas Torres - Vinotinto	1:5 ✺
29.09.24	Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.24	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	2:0
29.05.24	Chacaritas - Vinotinto	1:2
03.04.24	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	1:2
13.09.23	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	2:0
31.05.23	Chacaritas - Vinotinto	1:2
05.04.23	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	1:0

Chacaritas - Vinotinto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide