Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Charlton Athletic		Hull City

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.95	3.34	2.41
	3.13	3.39	2.46
	3.01	3.42	2.34	Watch
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.27	3.31	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	2.38 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
31.4%

Draw
28.7%

Hull City
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlton Athletic's form might have worsened.

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hull City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	17.4%	65.2%

Charlton Athletic - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Hull will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Sichenje C. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 44. Clarke H. 15. Coady C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 77. Fevrier J. 41. Knibbs H. 14. Carey S. 23. Kelman C.	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 6. Ajayi S. 15. Egan J. 3. Giles R. 8. Matazo E. 5. Lundstram J. 21. Gelhardt J. 25. Crooks M. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 32. Burke R. 7. Campbell T. 19. Chambers L. 6. Coventry C. 99. Dykes L. 11. Leaburn M. 25. Mannion W. (G) 26. Rankin-Costello J.	10. Belloumi M. 26. Dowell K. 23. Famewo A. 4. Hughes C. 22. Joseph K. 36. Koumas L. 37. McNair P. 12. Phillips D. (G) 27. Slater R.
Coaches
Jones N.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Sichenje C. 🟨,
11', Matazo E. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Kelman C. ⚽, Coady C. (A),
28', Sichenje C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
34', Coyle L. 🟨,
45+6', Kaminski T. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 1, Egan J. ⚽, McNair P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ajayi S. ↓, Belloumi M. ↑,
63', Carey S. ↓, Chambers L. ↑,
63', Knibbs H. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Fevrier J. ⚽,
69', Gelhardt J. ↓, Slater R. ↑,
70', Millar L. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
79', Giles R. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
83', Kelman C. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
90+7', Jones N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.

Charlton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hull has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Charlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Collyer T. (Inactive) Drameh C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Bell A. (Injury) Campbell T. (Injury) Ramsay K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hull: Gyabi D. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Charlton: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7:10	-3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Hull City - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.23%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
22.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Watford - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTL
- Hull City
English League Championship
21.04.26	Leicester City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sheffield United - Hull City	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hull City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Oxford United - Hull City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.10.25	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	1:1
English League One
09.05.21	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	1:0
02.01.21	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	2:0
English League Championship
20.06.20	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	0:1
13.12.19	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:2
16.01.16	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	6:0
22.08.15	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:1

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