Match Info

Championship - Round 40

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Oxford United		Hull City

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	3	Watch
	2.46	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.45	3.51	2.95
	2.33	3.44	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.45	3.22	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.48)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	2.93 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
39.2%

Draw
28.7%

Hull City
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.8%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Oxford United - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Hull will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 12. Roosken R. 5. Konak Y. E. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 17. Mills S. 33. Donley J. 44. Peart-Harris M. 27. Lankshear W.	12. Phillips D. (G) 18. Drameh C. 6. Ajayi S. 4. Hughes C. 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Lundstram J. 25. Crooks M. 10. Belloumi M. 21. Gelhardt J. 22. Joseph K. 9. McBurnie O.
Substitutes
9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 37. Makosso C. 38. McDonnell J. 7. Placheta P. 16. Prelec N. 15. Spencer B. 4. Vaulks W.	33. Collyer T. 26. Dowell K. 15. Egan J. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 36. Koumas L. 58. McCarthy C. 37. McNair P. 7. Millar L. 1. Pandur I. (G)
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Belloumi M. ⚽, Ajayi S. (A),
12', Hughes C. 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hughes C. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
46', Roosken R. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
64', Gelhardt J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
64', Belloumi M. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
76', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Jeon Jin-Woo ↑,
77', Konak Y. E. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
77', Donley J. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
83', Lundstram J. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
83', Joseph K. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
90+2', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1.

Oxford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hull's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Shoulder Injury) Goodrham T. (Ankle Injury) Leigh G. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Akintola B. (Inactive) Famewo A. (Calf Injury) Giles R. (Hamstring Injury) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Hirakawa Y. (Knee Injury) Jacob M. (Knee Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Slater R. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Hull City - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.08%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
21.03.26	Southampton - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Oxford United - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWWW
- Hull City
English League Championship
21.03.26	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	West Bromwich Albion - Hull City	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Wrexham - Hull City	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hull City - Millwall	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	Ipswich Town - Hull City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.08.25	Hull City - Oxford United	3:2
12.03.25	Hull City - Oxford United	2:1
05.11.24	Oxford United - Hull City	1:0
English League One
13.03.21	Hull City - Oxford United	2:0
05.12.20	Oxford United - Hull City	1:1
Club Friendly
15.07.17	Hull City - Oxford United	1:2

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