Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Play Diema Xtra
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
France	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Greece	17:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
India	19:30	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	16:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	22:00	mio Sports 1
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Turkey	17:00	Exxen
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Hull City		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.56	3.34	2.76	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.87
	2.53	3.38	2.77	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.47	3.51	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.76)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
37.9%

Draw
28%

Birmingham City
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

26.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	13.6%	0%

Hull City - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.32) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 6. Ajayi S. 15. Egan J. 37. McNair P. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 25. Crooks M. 10. Belloumi M. 21. Gelhardt J. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	25. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 31. Wagner K. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 24. Iwata T. 23. Vicente C. 28. Stansfield J. 17. Osman I. 29. Priske A.
Substitutes
26. Dowell K. 23. Famewo A. 3. Giles R. 13. Hirakawa Y. 4. Hughes C. 22. Joseph K. 36. Koumas L. 8. Matazo E. 12. Phillips D. (G)	21. Allsop R. (G) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 33. Ducksch M. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 6. Robinson J.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Gelhardt J. ⚽,
29', McNair P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
55', Stansfield J. 🟨,
55', Ajayi S. 🟨,
63', Stansfield J. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
63', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
67', Gelhardt J. 🟨,
75', Millar L. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
75', Gelhardt J. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Iwata T. ⚽,
83', Belloumi M. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
83', McNair P. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
85', Dowell K. 🟨,
86', Gray D. 🟨,
87', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
88', Neumann P. 🟨,
90+5', Vicente C. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
90+5', Priske A. ↓, Cochrane A. ↑,
90+9', Ducksch M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2.

Hull has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Hull: Famewo A. (Calf Injury) Giles R. (Hamstring Injury) Hirakawa Y. (Knee Injury) Lundstram J. (Red Card) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Slater R. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 7.86%

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
11.04.26	Sheffield United - Hull City	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hull City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Oxford United - Hull City	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	West Bromwich Albion - Hull City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWL
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
12.04.26	Birmingham City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Birmingham City - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.10.25	Birmingham City - Hull City	2:3
05.03.24	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Birmingham City - Hull City	2:1
06.01.24	Hull City - Birmingham City	1:1
English League Championship
25.10.23	Birmingham City - Hull City	0:2
30.12.22	Birmingham City - Hull City	0:1
16.10.22	Hull City - Birmingham City	0:2

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