Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Charlton Athletic		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.25	3.35	3.4
	2.12	3.21	3.36
	2.2	3.3	3.62
	2.25	3.25	3.4
	2.24	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
43.1%

Draw
29.3%

Luton Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

19.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	32.1%	10.7%

Charlton Athletic - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
15.02.20	Charlton Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	0:2 ✺
11.02.20	Nottingham Forest - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
08.02.20	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.20	Charlton Athletic - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
22.01.20	Charlton Athletic - Fulham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWLWT
- Luton Town
English League Championship
15.02.20	Middlesbrough - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
12.02.20	Luton Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Luton Town - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
01.02.20	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
28.01.20	Luton Town - Derby County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.11.19	Luton Town - Charlton Athletic	2:1
English League One
13.04.19	Charlton Athletic - Luton Town	3:1
29.09.18	Luton Town - Charlton Athletic	2:2

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