The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough 55.1%
Draw 24.2%
Luton Town 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.3%
26.1%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.5%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
11.8%
17.6%
Middlesbrough - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 48.9% โ 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dieng S. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 25. Edmundson G. 5. Clarke M. 12. Ayling L. (C) 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 50. Doak B. 20. Azaz F. 10. Burgzorg D. 9. Latte Lath E.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 29. Holmes T. 15. Mengi T. 6. McGuinness M. 27. Hashioka D. 26. Baptiste S. 20. Walsh L. 3. Bell A. (C) 14. Chong T. 10. Woodrow C. 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
4. Barlaser D. 31. Brynn S. (G) 22. Conway T. 6. Fry D. 17. Hamilton M. 16. Howson J. 11. Jones I. 37. McCormick G. 8. McGree R.
5. Andersen M. 19. Brown J. 18. Clark J. 8. Krauss T. 23. Krul T. (G) 9. Morris C. 7. Moses V. 17. Mpanzu P. 13. Nakamba M.
Coaches
Carrick M.
Edwards R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Baptiste S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Burgzorg D. ⚽, Doak B. (A),
31', Burgzorg D. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Bell A. ↓, Moses V. ↑,
49', Hashioka D. 🟨,
51', 3 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽, Doak B. (A),
54', 4 - 0, Burgzorg D. ⚽, Latte Lath E. (A),
55', Baptiste S. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
56', Woodrow C. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
59', Walsh L. ↓, Nakamba M. ↑,
59', Adebayo E. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
62', Clark J. 🟨,
66', Morris C. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
70', Morris A. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
70', Burgzorg D. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
70', Latte Lath E. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
75', Edmundson G. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Clark J. ⚽, Krauss T. (A),
81', Doak B. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Azaz F. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 19).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Luton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Luton have a series of home games.
In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Engel L.
(Abdominal strain)
Gilbert A.
(Knee Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Andersen M.
(Leg Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Heart Problems)
Walters R.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Burke R.
(Groin Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Middlesbrough - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Hungary
United Kingdom
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Dieng S. (G) 
Dijksteel A. 
Edmundson G. 
Morris A. 
Doak B. 
Azaz F. 
Burgzorg D. 
Latte Lath E. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
Hashioka D. 
Baptiste S. 
Bell A. (C) 
Jones I. 
McGree R. 
Andersen M. 
Krauss T. 
Moses V. 
Mpanzu P. 
Nakamba M. 
Edwards R. 
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