Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.8	4.6
	1.68	3.9	5
	1.69	4.08	4.98
	1.7	3.75	4.75
	1.69	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	4.81 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
55.8%

Draw
24.6%

Morecambe
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Charlton Athletic - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Charlton has the most likely position - 10 (59.88%), project points - 64, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (46.99%), project points - 40, currently - 38, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 15, very small importance 8, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Charlton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Charlton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
18.04.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Ipswich Town - Charlton Athletic	6:0 ✺
10.04.23	Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion	3:2 ✺
07.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Charlton Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW
- Morecambe
English League One
15.04.23	Morecambe - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Portsmouth - Morecambe	0:0 ✺
07.04.23	Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Barnsley - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
25.03.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.03.23	Morecambe - Charlton Athletic	1:4
15.04.22	Charlton Athletic - Morecambe	2:3
23.11.21	Morecambe - Charlton Athletic	2:2

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