Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2	3.5	3.75
	2	3.65	3.84
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	2	3.5	3.68	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	3.68 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
47.8%

Draw
26.7%

Port Vale
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Charlton Athletic - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 32. Asiimwe N. 2. Jones L. 6. Hector M. 17. Edun T. 29. Kanu D. 33. Anderson K. 4. Dobson G. (C) 12. Taylor T. 23. Blackett-Taylor C. 9. May A.	1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Smith N. (C) 3. Jones D. 17. Iacovitti A. 4. Sang T. 18. Arblaster O. 14. Ojo F. 15. Grant C. 10. Chislett E. 29. Wilson J. 8. Garrity B.
Substitutes
21. Isted H. (G) 10. Jaiyesimi D. 14. Kirk C. 16. McGrandles C. 5. Ness L. 19. Payne J. 3. Thomas T.	2. Cass L. 7. Clark M. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 16. Lowe J. 19. Massey G. 21. Plant J. 44. Thomas J.
Coaches
Holden D.	Crosby A.

Preview

Charlton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Port Vale is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charlton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
15.08.23	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Newport County - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Charlton Athletic - Aberdeen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Port Vale
English League One
15.08.23	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Port Vale - Reading	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	3:2 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Barnsley - Port Vale	7:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.04.23	Charlton Athletic - Port Vale	3:2
19.11.22	Port Vale - Charlton Athletic	1:0
19.11.16	Charlton Athletic - Port Vale	2:0
18.10.16	Port Vale - Charlton Athletic	1:1

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