Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Charlton Athletic		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.5
	1.44	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.77	6.12
	1.46	4.78	6.12
	1.67	3.7	3.9
	1.42	4.6	6.25
	1.44	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)	4.51 ↑ (3.7)	5.57 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
62.9%

Draw
20.5%

Sutton United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sutton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sutton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Charlton Athletic - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Walker S. (G) 32. Asiimwe N. 5. Ness L. 18. Watson T. 17. Edun T. 25. Watson L. 16. McGrandles C. 10. Fraser S. (C) 20. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M. 23. Blackett-Taylor C.	25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 5. Goodliffe B. (C) 4. Sowunmi O. 24. Milsom R. 7. Coley J. 16. Clay C. 26. Gape D. 11. Patrick O. 19. Fadahunsi T. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
41. Adegoke P. (G) 27. Campbell C. 4. Dobson G. 2. Jones L. 38. Kedwell H. 9. May A. 30. Tedic S.	10. Beautyman H. 14. Dundas C. 13. House B. (G) 6. John L. 37. Moore L. 8. N'Guessan C. 36. Sullivan C.
Coaches
Appleton M.	Gray M.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charlton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English FA Cup
15.11.23	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Charlton Athletic	1:6 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Charlton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Charlton Athletic	2:3 ✺
28.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTWL
- Sutton United
English League Two
18.11.23	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Colchester United - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Sutton United - Fylde	2:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Sutton United - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Wrexham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.22	Sutton United - Charlton Athletic	0:0

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