Match Info

Championship - Round 24

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.05	3.5	Watch
	2.28	3.16	3.36	Watch
	2.27	3.16	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.29	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.44)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	3.36 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
41.6%

Draw
30.3%

Charlton Athletic
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	22.2%	38.9%

Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Charlton will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 40%). Charlton (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Portsmouth (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Portsmouth (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Charlton (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 14. Matthews H. 5. Poole R. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 21. Dozzell A. 10. Segecic A. 36. Chaplin C. 29. Blair H. 25. Kirk M.	1. Kaminski T. (G) 32. Burke R. 5. Jones L. (C) 17. Bell A. 6. Coventry C. 28. Bree J. 26. Rankin-Costello J. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M. 23. Kelman C.
Substitutes
9. Bishop C. 17. Bowat I. 26. Bursik J. (G) 18. Kosznovszky M. 6. Shaughnessy C. 8. Swift J. 15. Umeh F. 2. Williams J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk	30. Apter R. 14. Carey S. 10. Docherty G. 37. Fullah I. 3. Gillesphey M. 36. Gough K. 41. Knibbs H. 25. Mannion W. (G) 22. Olaofe T.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Bell A. 🟨,
61', Rankin-Costello J. 🟨,
64', Blair H. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
64', Matthews H. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
64', Chaplin C. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Shaughnessy C. ⚽, Segecic A. (A),
74', Poole R. 🟨,
84', Berry L. ↓, Carey S. ↑,
84', Burke R. ↓, Gillesphey M. ↑,
84', Bree J. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
85', Rankin-Costello J. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
85', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
90', Kirk M. ↓, Umeh F. ↑,
90+4', Bowat I. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Knibbs H. ⚽, Leaburn M. (A),
90+8', 2 - 1, Yang Min-Hyuk ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Portsmouth could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Hernandez O. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.8:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.63%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
26.12.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Derby County - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Swansea City - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLL
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
26.12.25	Norwich City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.02.24	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0
11.11.23	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:2
01.01.23	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	1:3
17.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	3:0
31.01.22	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	1:2
25.09.21	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	2:2
02.02.21	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	1:3

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