Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Lexington		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.09	3.6	2.9
	2.12	3.7	3
	2.13	3.72	3.06	Watch
	2.07	3.64	2.93	Watch
	2.09	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.32)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	2.93 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
43.7%

Draw
25.2%

Charlotte Independence
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Lexington - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 12. Corrales J. (C) 77. Brown N. 6. Caputo A. 19. Canadi M. 9. Liadi A. 8. Yankam Y. 32. Diouf A. 17. Lancaster C.	1. Pack A. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 7. Djedje R. 4. Spielman N. 2. Ngah F. 13. Sorenson A. 6. Ciss O. 21. Corea D. 14. Alvarez L. 8. Johnson J. 29. Obregon J.
Substitutes
7. Cano I. 74. Ceja E. 11. Cerritos A. 5. Fox K. 20. Lacey K. 25. Mane P. 2. Robertson T.	5. Dutey S. 10. Ibarra M. 28. Levy M. (G) 11. Mbuyu T. 77. Obara C. 24. Owoahene-Akyeampong D. 18. Pierre N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', Sorenson A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Lancaster C. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Obregon J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Alvarez L. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Corrales J. ↓, Fox K. ↑,
71', Young C. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
71', Yankam Y. ↓, Cerritos A. ↑,
73', Corea D. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
73', Johnson J. 🟨,
74', Johnson J. ↓, Owoahene-Akyeampong D. ↑,
83', Ngah F. ↓, Obara C. ↑,
86', Mendez M. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
88', Fox K. 🟨,
90+3', Pack A. 🟨,
90+5', Obregon J. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
90+5', Djedje R. ↓, Dutey S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Cerritos A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL League One
12.10.24	Union Omaha - Lexington	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Richmond Kickers - Lexington	3:0 ✺
18.09.24	Lexington - Central Valley Fuego	7:1 ✺
13.09.24	Lexington - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
12.10.24	Charlotte Independence - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.09.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
03.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:3
17.09.23	Lexington - Charlotte Independence	2:2
09.07.23	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	2:1
13.05.23	Lexington - Charlotte Independence	1:0

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