Match Info

FNL - Round 20

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)


	Ufa		Fakel

	1	X	2
	4	3.19	2
	4.36	3.01	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (4.02)	3.1 ↑ (3.09)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
22.5%

Draw
30.3%

Fakel
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

30.9%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

30%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ufa - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Chernov A. (G) 88. Ageyan M. 96. Baranovsky A. 10. Gystarov R. 15. Khabalov A. 50. Khomukha I. 70. Ortiz D. 7. Perchenok A. 55. Shlyakov E. 45. Tenyaev A. 22. Yusupov Z.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 5. Gabaraev A. 99. Giorgobiani N. 52. Netfullin R. 19. Pusi B. 9. Turishchev M. 23. Yakimov V. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
Substitutes
23. Akhatov D. 75. Bakirov B. (G) 31. Belenov A. (G) 77. Chimezie W. 69. Khanenko I. 19. Mayorov E. 17. Ozmanov D. 79. Troyanov K.	70. Abdokov N. 77. Bagatelia L. 2. Cherov V. 95. Gaponov I. 21. Gongadze G. 17. Kovalev A. 97. Magomedov B. 11. Motpan N. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 18. Simonov K. 93. Uridia M.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ⚽,
6', 0 - 2, Gabaraev A. ⚽,
14', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
31', 0 - 3, Pusi B. (Pen),
43', Baranovsky A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Turishchev M. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
61', Baranovsky A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
61', Perchenok A. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Bagamaev A. ⚽,
66', Alshin I. 🟨,
67', Khabalov A. ↓, Khanenko I. ↑,
69', Alshin I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
69', Netfullin R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
75', Gystarov R. 🟨,
78', Tenyaev A. ↓, Ozmanov D. ↑,
78', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
78', Bagamaev A. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Ufa has had a series of home games.

Fakel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
16.11.25	Ufa - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Chelyabinsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
16.11.25	Sokol Saratov - Fakel	0:1 ✺
10.11.25	Fakel - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 ✺
03.11.25	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.07.25	Fakel - Ufa	1:0
Club Friendly
28.06.13	Ufa - Fakel	3:0

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