Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.15	5.9
	1.37	4.83	5.87
	1.42	5	6.09	Watch
	1.4	4.75	6
	1.34	5.05	6.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.96 ↑ (4.8)	6.06 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
66.4%

Draw
18.5%

Eastbourne Borough
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

19.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Chelmsford City - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Corbett K. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Corbett K. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Barbrook H. (Own goal),
45+3', 1 - 3, Abrahams T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Eastbourne is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 4.

Chelmsford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eastbourne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eastbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chelmsford is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 47:24. (average 2.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.7:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Chelmsford	10	2	8	0	14:8	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
18.04.26	Chesham United - Chelmsford City	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hornchurch - Chelmsford City	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Chelmsford City - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chelmsford City	3:3 ✺
03.04.26	Chelmsford City - Enfield Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTTW
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
18.04.26	Eastbourne Borough - Totton	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Eastbourne Borough - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	1:2
25.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	2:1
05.10.24	Chelmsford City - Eastbourne Borough	4:2
17.02.24	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	0:3
28.08.23	Chelmsford City - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
04.03.23	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	2:2
29.10.22	Chelmsford City - Eastbourne Borough	5:0

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