Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, V Sport Premium
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kenya	Gotv
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Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360


	Chelsea		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	3
	2.18	3.95	3.1
	2.19	4	3.13
	2.24	4.12	2.75	Watch
	2.26	4.03	2.93
	2.2	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	4 ↓ (4.01)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
43.7%

Draw
24%

Barcelona
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

23.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

23.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.9%	21.7%	46.4%

Chelsea - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 19 - 31.1%). Barcelona will win (votes: 29 - 47.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35% – 60%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Barcelona (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Chelsea (1.38) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.25 - Chelsea (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Barcelona (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Barcelona (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Barcelona (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 9 - 23.1%). Barcelona (votes: 22 - 56.4%). Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 24. James R. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 41. Estêvão 8. Fernandez E. 49. Garnacho A. 7. Neto P.	13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Cubarsi P. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. 24. Garcia E. 16. Fermín 10. Lamine Yamal 9. Lewandowski R. 7. Torres F.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 17. Andrey Santos 5. Badiashile B. 40. Buonanotte F. 9. Delap L. 32. George T. 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 20. Joao Pedro 12. Jorgensen F. (G)	28. Bardghji R. 22. Bernal M. 17. Casado M. 15. Christensen A. 27. Fernandez D. 31. Kochen D. (G) 18. Martin G. 20. Olmo D. 11. Raphinha 14. Rashford M. 25. Szczesny W. (G)
Coaches
Maresca E.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Kounde J. (Own goal),
32', Araujo R. 🟨,
40', Gusto M. 🟨,
44', Araujo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torres F. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
46', Gusto M. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
52', Maresca E. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Estêvão ⚽, James R. (A),
59', Garnacho A. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
62', Lewandowski R. ↓, Raphinha ↑,
62', Fermín ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Delap L. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
76', Neto P. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
79', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
80', Lamine Yamal ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
82', James R. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
82', Estêvão ↓, George T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2.

Chelsea has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barcelona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Toe Injury) Slonina G. (Inactive) Sterling R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury) Pedri (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Club Brugge - Barcelona	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Barcelona - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.19	Barcelona - Chelsea	1:2
UEFA Champions League
14.03.18	Barcelona - Chelsea	3:0
20.02.18	Chelsea - Barcelona	1:1
International Champions Cup
28.07.15	Chelsea - Barcelona	3:2 penalties
UEFA Champions League
24.04.12	Barcelona - Chelsea	2:2

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