Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stamford Bridge (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	19:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	12:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	19:00	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 4
Haiti	10:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 4
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	23:00	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	16:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 3, CANAL+ Poland
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	17:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	23:00	ELTA Sports 4
Tajikistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	15:00	BBC Radio 5 Live
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Chelsea		Brentford

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4.1
	1.9	3.9	3.85
	1.89	3.82	4.17	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.7
	1.85	3.82	4.4	Watch
	1.85	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.66)	3.81 ↓ (4.05)	4.04 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
51.2%

Draw
25.1%

Brentford
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelsea's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.3%	11.4%	6.3%

Chelsea - Brentford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Brentford (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (64 of 78 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.53% – 90.57%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Brentford (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 24. James R. (C) 23. Chalobah T. 4. Adarabioyo T. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 8. Fernandez E. 7. Neto P. 10. Palmer C. 49. Garnacho A. 20. Joao Pedro	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 20. Ajer K. 22. Collins N. (C) 3. Henry R. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 27. Janelt V. 24. Damsgaard M. 8. Jensen M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 5. Badiashile B. 9. Delap L. 29. Fofana W. 32. George T. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 12. Jorgensen F. (G)	45. Donovan R. 47. Furo K. 2. Hickey A. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Nelson R. 19. Ouattara Da. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 4. van den Berg S.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
36', Schade K. 🟨,
45+3', Janelt V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Garnacho A. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
58', Adarabioyo T. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
67', Cucurella M. 🟨,
74', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Damsgaard M. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
82', Schade K. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
82', Henry R. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
83', Fofana W. 🟨,
85', Fernandez E. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
85', James R. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
90+2', Palmer C. 🟨,
90+4', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.

Chelsea has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brentford is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Delap L. (Illness) Gittens J. (Illness) Gusto M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Brentford: Henderson J. (Ankle Injury) Onyeka F. (Rest)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
6	Brentford	8	2	5	1	14:9	5	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 6.16% Brentford: 0.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTT
- Brentford FC
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Brentford	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Brentford - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Everton - Brentford	2:4 ✺
01.01.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2
06.04.25	Brentford - Chelsea	0:0
15.12.24	Chelsea - Brentford	2:1
02.03.24	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2
28.10.23	Chelsea - Brentford	0:2
26.04.23	Chelsea - Brentford	0:2
19.10.22	Brentford - Chelsea	0:0

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