Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Valley (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 3
Canada	15:00	Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Germany	21:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	FOX One
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Papua New Guinea	06:00	TVWan Sports
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN South
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Extra, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Charlton Athletic		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.35
	6.25	4.6	1.41
	7.9	5.4	1.37
	20.48	6.82	1.15	Watch
	7	4.6	1.36
	7.76	5.26	1.41	Watch
	8	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.2 ↑ (7.71)	5.24 ↑ (5.15)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
10.4%

Draw
18.3%

Chelsea
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.2%

18.3%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

16.2%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Charlton Athletic - Chelsea Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 36. Gough K. 5. Jones L. 17. Bell A. 6. Coventry C. 28. Bree J. 14. Carey S. 10. Docherty G. (C) 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M. 23. Kelman C.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Badiashile B. 21. Hato J. 25. Caicedo M. (C) 17. Andrey Santos 11. Gittens J. 40. Buonanotte F. 49. Garnacho A. 38. Guiu M.
Substitutes
18. Anderson K. 30. Apter R. 8. Berry L. 37. Fullah I. 3. Gillesphey M. 41. Knibbs H. 21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 22. Olaofe T. 26. Rankin-Costello J.	23. Chalobah T. 9. Delap L. 14. Essugo D. 41. Estêvão 8. Fernandez E. 29. Fofana W. 20. Joao Pedro 7. Neto P. 1. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Jones N.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Badiashile B. 🟨,
31', Docherty G. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Hato J. ⚽, Guiu M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
50', 0 - 2, Adarabioyo T. ⚽, Buonanotte F. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Leaburn M. ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, Guiu M. ⚽,
66', Gittens J. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
66', Coventry C. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
66', Kelman C. ↓, Gillesphey M. ↑,
67', Docherty G. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
69', Buonanotte F. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
69', Guiu M. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
74', Bell A. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
82', Campbell T. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
85', Garnacho A. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
85', Hato J. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Neto P. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
90+4', 1 - 5, Fernandez E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Charlton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chelsea has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Chelsea: 8.21% Charlton: 0.35%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
04.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Norwich City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLLW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
07.01.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Chelsea - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLT

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