Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
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India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 6
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Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Everton		Brentford

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.9
	2.37	3.2	3
	2.52	3.25	2.98
	2.46	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.58	3.25	3.13	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	2.99 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
38.4%

Draw
29.8%

Brentford
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Everton's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73%	17.5%	9.5%

Everton - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 46 - 74.2%). Brentford will win (votes: 5 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 63.3% – 85.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 17 - 68%). Brentford (votes: 2 - 8%). Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Everton (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Brentford (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 42. Iroegbunam T. 37. Garner J. 20. Dibling T. 7. McNeil D. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 20. Ajer K. 22. Collins N. (C) 2. Hickey A. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
45. Armstrong H. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 73. Campbell E. 31. King T. (G) 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G) 64. Welch R.	45. Donovan R. 6. Henderson J. 3. Henry R. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Nelson R. 25. Peart-Harris M. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 4. van den Berg S.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Thiago I. ⚽, Janelt V. (A),
31', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
39', Kayode M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Dibling T. ↓, Beto ↑,
46', McNeil D. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Collins N. ⚽, Janelt V. (A),
51', 0 - 3, Thiago I. ⚽, Schade K. (A),
64', Schade K. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
64', Jensen M. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Beto ⚽, Grealish J. (A),
76', Hickey A. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
77', Iroegbunam T. ↓, Armstrong H. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Thiago I. ⚽, Collins N. (A),
90+1', 2 - 4, Barry T. ⚽, Grealish J. (A),
90+2', Thiago I. ↓, Peart-Harris M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Everton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Alcaraz C. (Injury) Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (International duty) Keane M. (Injury) Ndiaye I. (International duty)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury) Onyeka F. (International duty) Ouattara Da. (International duty)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Everton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brentford: 1.05% Everton: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6:3	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
01.01.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brentford	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
17.12.25	Manchester City - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
14.12.25	Brentford - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
26.02.25	Brentford - Everton	1:1
23.11.24	Everton - Brentford	0:0
27.04.24	Everton - Brentford	1:0
23.09.23	Brentford - Everton	1:3
11.03.23	Everton - Brentford	1:0
27.08.22	Brentford - Everton	1:1
15.05.22	Everton - Brentford	2:3

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