The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 53%
Draw 24.7%
Leeds United 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
23.8%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
22.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.1%
5.9%
0%
Chelsea - Leeds United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Leeds (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chelsea will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 2 - 40%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 27. Gusto M. 6. Colwill L. (C) 5. Lacroix M. 34. Acheampong J. 29. Chavarria P. 41. Estรชvรฃo 31. Watson R. 4. Barco V. 11. Gittens J. 18. Welbeck D.
16. Zetterer M. (G) 24. Justin J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Muharemovic T. 7. James D. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 8. Longstaff S. 26. Bard M. 10. Wilson H. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Nmecha L.
Substitutes
3. Fofana W. 21. Hato J. 24. James R. 9. Joao Pedro 1. Martinez E. (G) 7. Neto P. 10. Palmer C. 23. Quenda G. 17. Rogers M.
23. Bahoya J. 2. Bogle J. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 30. Elvedi N. 3. Gudmundsson G. 19. Okafor N. 18. Stach A. 22. Tanaka A. 1. Trafford J. (G)
Coaches
Alonso X.
Farke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Muharemovic T. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
45+1', Watson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (6 - 2)
46', Watson R. ↓, James R. ↑,
46', Gusto M. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
46', Gittens J. ↓, Palmer C. ↑,
46', Estรชvรฃo ↓, Neto P. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Aaronson B. ⚽, Nmecha L. (A),
52', 1 - 2, Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
55', 2 - 2, Palmer C. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
60', 3 - 2, Neto P. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
65', 4 - 2, Welbeck D. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
66', James D. ↓, Stach A. ↑,
66', Nmecha L. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
67', Aaronson B. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
67', Longstaff S. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
75', 4 - 3, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽, Okafor N. (A),
76', Colwill L. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
78', Bard M. ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
80', 5 - 3, Barco V. ⚽,
82', Alonso X. 🟨,
90+4', 6 - 3, Welbeck D. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chelsea is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Chelsea: Caicedo M.
(Injury)
Emegha E.
(Injury)
Henderson J.
(Wrist Injury)
Palestra M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Leeds: Gruev I.
(Knee Injury)
Joseph M.
(Knee Injury)
Rodon J.
(Muscle Injury)
We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).