Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.09	11	21
	1.11	9.9	31
	1.22	7.2	13.29
	1.14	10.06	19.46	Watch
	1.11	10	21
	1.11	11.7	21
	1.1	11	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.18)	10.12 ↑ (7.19)	21.11 ↑ (17.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
85.9%

Draw
9.5%

Paphos
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.2%

13.3%

5.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	4.4%	2.2%

Chelsea - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 42 - 93.3%). Paphos will win (votes: 1 - 2.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 86% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.75 - Chelsea (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Paphos (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Paphos (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jorgensen F. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 5. Badiashile B. 21. Hato J. 24. James R. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 7. Neto P. 8. Fernandez E. 49. Garnacho A. 9. Delap L.	1. Gorter J. (G) 12. Sema K. 23. Luckassen D. 2. Pileas K. 7. Bruno 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 11. Jaja 17. Orsic M. 30. Dragomir V. (C) 33. Anderson Silva
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 56. Emenalo L. 41. Estêvão 32. George T. 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M. 20. Joao Pedro 1. Sanchez R. (G) 46. Walsh R.	9. Bassouamina M. 4. David Luiz 10. Dimata L. 87. Fontoura Joao 5. Goldar D. 25. Langa B. 42. Michael G. 93. Michail N. (G) 82. Petrou P. (G) 8. Quina D.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Celades A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Orsic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jorgensen F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
46', James R. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
56', Sema K. 🟨,
65', Anderson Silva ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
65', Jaja ↓, Quina D. ↑,
70', Delap L. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
70', Garnacho A. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
70', Hato J. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
73', Gittens J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Caicedo M. ⚽,
78', Sunjic I. 🟨,
83', Orsic M. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
83', Sema K. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
86', Fernandez E. 🟨,
89', Dragomir V. ↓, Michael G. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chelsea is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T. (Muscle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Slonina G. (Inactive) Sterling R. (Inactive) Wiley C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Correia J. (Injury) Goldar D. (Injury) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Pedrao (Knee Injury) Valakari O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Fernandez E. (Illness)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
17.01.26	Chelsea - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLT
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
17.01.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Paphos	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Paphos - Omonia Aradippou	2:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
07.01.26	Paphos - Akritas Chlorakas	2:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
04.01.26	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Paphos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

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