Match Info

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday


	Chelsea		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.2
	1.75	4.10	4.10
	1.7	4.2	4.45
	1.78	4.38	4.6
	1.85	4.14	4.02	Watch
	1.67	4.3	4.55
	1.81	4.31	4.36	Watch
	1.69	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)	4.22 ↑ (4.04)	4.34 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
55.1%

Draw
22.7%

Tottenham Hotspur
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

23.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Chelsea (1.73) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 20th in the Relegation - Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4.

Chelsea is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tottenham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tottenham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Chelsea is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea has recorded 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:16 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chelsea against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	17:13	4	13
16	Tottenham	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 8.13% Tottenham: 0.38%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 50.04%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
17.10.26	Everton - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Brentford - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chelsea - Hull City	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.09.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
19.10.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.26	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
English Premier League
19.05.26	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1
01.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	0:1
03.04.25	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
08.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	3:4
02.05.24	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0
06.11.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	1:4

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