Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2
	2.5	3.05	3.15
	2.49	3.11	3.28
	1.44	3.80	9.35	Watch
	2.57	3.19	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.46)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	4.43 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
44.9%

Draw
31.9%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolverhampton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolverhampton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.4%	28.6%	20%

Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sunderland (1.71) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Sunderland (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wolverhampton (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 20. Mukiele N. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 25. Traore B. 11. Rigg C. 28. Le Fee E. 18. Isidor W.	31. Johnstone S. (G) 2. Doherty M. (C) 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 3. Bueno H. 5. Munetsi M. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 10. Arias J. 9. Larsen J. S. 21. Gomes R.
Substitutes
24. Adingra S. 9. Brobbey B. 6. Geertruida L. 26. Masuaku A. 12. Mayenda E. 4. Neil D. 13. O'Nien L. 1. Patterson A. (G) 7. Talbi C.	12. Agbadou E. 14. Arokodare T. 26. Hoever K. 28. Lopez F. 15. Mosquera Y. 1. Sa J. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 24. Toti 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Mukiele N. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Traore B. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
67', Doherty M. ↓, Hoever K. ↑,
76', Rigg C. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
76', Isidor W. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
76', Gomes R. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
76', Joao Gomes ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
77', Arias J. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Krejci L. (Own goal),
90+5', Sadiki N. ↓, Neil D. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Doherty M. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Alderete O. (Muscle Injury) Sadiki N. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Toti (Illness)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sunderland - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWTTW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
05.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.05.18	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0
09.12.17	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland	0:0
English Premier League
14.04.12	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0

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