Network on TV: My Network TV (KZJO - Seattle-Tacoma, WA)
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 45.8%
Draw 27%
Seattle Sounders 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27.4%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.1%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.
Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Fire that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.6%
15.6%
18.7%
Chicago Fire - Seattle Sounders Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Seattle will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 49.1% โ 82.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).
Chicago has the most likely position - 13 (17.79%), has project points - 38, has currently - 20, has a small chance of playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Seattle has the most likely position - 7 (11.29%), has project points - 47, has currently - 26, has a good chance of playoffs (56%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality38, small importance20, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Chicago will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Chicago: Omsberg W.
(Injury)
There will not play in Seattle: Paulo J.
(Injury)
Vargas O.
(Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.