Match Info

MLS

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)

Referee: Penso T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Chicago Fire		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.1	2.75	Watch
	2.22	3.95	2.88
	2.29	4.05	2.92
	2.14	4.16	2.80	Watch
	2.22	4	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.39)	4.05 ↑ (3.73)	2.86 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire
43.2%

Draw
23.5%

Columbus Crew
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Chicago (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 16. Waterman J. 3. Elliott J. 5. Rogers S. 19. Bamba J. 10. Franco A. 42. D'Avilla D. 11. Zinckernagel P. 2. Barroso L. 9. Cuypers H. 15. Gutman A.	24. Bush E. (G) 2. Herrera A. 21. Cheberko Y. 31. Moreira S. 18. Amundsen M. 6. Nagbe D. 7. Chambost D. 14. Sejdic A. 30. Picard H. 8. Gazdag D. 27. Arfsten M.
Substitutes
23. Acosta K. 12. Barlow T. 24. Dean J. 25. Gal J. (G) 17. Gutierrez B. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 6. Kouame R. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M.	11. Aliyu I. 44. Brown T. 1. Hagen N. (G) 20. Jones D. 26. Lappalainen L. 19. Russell-Rowe J. 48. Ruvalcaba C. 28. Schulte P. (G)
Coaches
Berhalter G.	Nancy W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Gutman A. ⚽, Elliott J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sejdic A. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
50', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
66', Aliyu I. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽, Franco A. (A),
71', Gazdag D. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
72', Bamba J. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
73', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
73', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
80', Herrera A. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
87', Cheberko Y. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
90', Franco A. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
90+4', Rogers S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chicago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Health problems)

There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R. (Pelvis Injury) Rossi D. (Thigh Injury) Zawadzki S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:39. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire
MLS
20.09.25	Minnesota United - Chicago Fire	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chicago Fire - New York City	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Chicago Fire - New England Revolution	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chicago Fire - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW
- Columbus Crew
MLS
20.09.25	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	New York City - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	4:5 ✺
30.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Columbus Crew - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.02.25	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	4:2
18.05.24	Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew	1:3
09.03.24	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	2:1
20.09.23	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	3:0
10.06.23	Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew	1:2
03.09.22	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	0:0
09.07.22	Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew	2:3

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