Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arce V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	18:07	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	20:07	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Sports 2, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Chivas Guadalajara		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.50	8.00	Watch
	1.36	5.25	7.00
	1.34	5.10	6.75	Watch
	1.36	5.74	8.32
	1.37	5.5	6.9
	1.34	5.35	8.25
	1.35	5.58	8.12	Watch
	1.30	5.50	7.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	5.44 ↑ (4.6)	7.61 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
70.3%

Draw
17.3%

Necaxa
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 16. Rey L. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 37. Ledezma R. 28. Gonzalez F. (C) 33. Carrillo J. 182. Calderon L. 25. Alvarado R. 10. Alvarez E. 17. Marin R.	181. Orantes J. (G) 2. Martinez E. 5. Naves 15. Ochoa D. 3. Oliveros A. (C) 14. Zaleta M. 99. Rodriguez E. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 10. Ruiz J. 90. Valencia J.
Substitutes
14. Camberos H. 19. Castaneda K. 24. Gomez M. 5. Gonzalez B. 46. Hernandez C. 57. Hernandez J. 59. Inda S. 18. Perez J. 30. Sandoval S. 13. Whalley O. (G)	1. Andrade C. (G) 208. Becerra L. 9. Carranza J. 17. Cortez R. 21. Espindola M. 13. Gonzalez O. 33. Martinez R. 210. Palacios J. 27. Pedroza M. 88. Vargas C.
Coaches
Milito G.	Reynoso J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
46', Calderon L. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
46', Carrillo J. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
54', Valencia J. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
54', Rodriguez E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
61', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
61', Ledezma R. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
72', Alvarez E. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Oliveros A. (Own goal),
78', Faravelli L. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
84', Ochoa D. ↓, Pedroza M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.

In recent outings, Guadalajara has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Necaxa has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Guadalajara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Guadalajara carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Doubtful / questionable for Guadalajara: Gomez M. (Muscle Injury) Perez J. (Muscle Injury) Romo L. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:21 (averaging 2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guadalajara against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:10 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	7	5	2	21:12	9	26
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16:27	-11	10

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

Guadalajara Chivas: 16.9%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
17.10.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLT
- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
16.10.26	Necaxa - Atlas	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	3:3 ✺
27.09.26	Necaxa - Club América	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético San Luis - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Necaxa - Puebla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
22.04.26	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0
23.09.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	3:1
17.01.25	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	3:2
22.10.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	3:2
20.02.24	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0
13.07.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	2:0
08.04.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	1:0

Upcoming Matches