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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 44.1%
Draw 26.4%
San Jose Earthquakes 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
28.9%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
28.3%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Chivas Guadalajara - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 2. Mozo A. 3. Sepulveda G. 27. Sepulveda L. 50. Chavez Garcia M. 28. Gonzalez F. 19. Marin R. 5. Guzman V. 15. Gutierrez E. 16. Cowell C. 6. Perez P.
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 15. Beason T. 26. Rodrigues 94. Vitor Costa 14. Yueill J. 7. Gruezo C. 23. Lopez H. 10. Espinoza C. 11. Ebobisse J. 9. Pellegrino A.
Substitutes
25. Alvarado R. 29. Barajas F. 20. Beltran F. 4. Briseno A. 11. Brizuela I. 21. Castillo J. 34. Gonzalez A. 7. Govea O. 181. Liceaga J. (G) 18. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 17. Sanchez J. 30. Whalley O. (G)
55. Baldisimo M. 17. Bouda O. 98. Jackson J. (G) 3. Marie P. 6. Morales A. 20. Richmond W. 16. Skahan J. 22. Thompson T. 33. Verhoeven O. 25. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Gago F.
Russell I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Ebobisse J. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),
41', Gruezo C. 🟨,
41', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez P. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
54', Briseno A. 🟨,
62', Marin R. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
62', Guzman V. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
65', Pellegrino A. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
65', Daniel 🟨,
72', Lopez H. 🟨,
81', Sepulveda L. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
83', Espinoza C. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
83', Ebobisse J. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
87', Rodrigues 🟨,
87', Rangel R. 🟨,
88', Yueill J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
88', Beltran F. 🟨,
89', Lopez H. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez F. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Alvarado R. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Alvarado R. (Pen),
1, Skahan J. (Pen),
2, Mozo A. (Pen),
2, Marie P. (Pen),
3, Gutierrez E. (Pen),
3, Rodrigues (Pen),
4, Cowell C. (Pen),
4, Morales A. (Pen),
5, Beltran F. (Pen),
5, Vitor Costa (Pen),
Preview
Recent matches Guadalajara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Jose is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Jose could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Guadalajara will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in San Jose: Daniel
(Muscle Injury)
Marcinkowski J.
(Knee Injury)
Ricketts J.
(Injury)