Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Cieza		Unión Molinense

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.45	5.9
	1.58	3.56	5.81
	1.51	3.72	6.49
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.54	3.45	6.15
	1.54	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	6.06 ↓ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cieza
58.9%

Draw
26.1%

Unión Molinense
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.8%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

23.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cieza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cieza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Cieza - Unión Molinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cieza won 2.

Cieza is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Molinense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cieza is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Cieza will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cieza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cieza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Cieza	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Cieza - Santomera	5:0 ✺
18.01.26	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cieza - Muleño	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bala Azul - Cieza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW
- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Unión Molinense - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Unión Molinense - Cartagena B	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.09.25	Unión Molinense - Cieza	0:2
06.04.25	Unión Molinense - Cieza	2:2
24.11.24	Cieza - Unión Molinense	0:0
28.01.24	Cieza - Unión Molinense	1:0
10.09.23	Unión Molinense - Cieza	1:1
22.01.23	Unión Molinense - Cieza	2:1

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