The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 47.4%
Draw 28.6%
Alessandria 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
26.3%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
25.6%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella's form might have worsened.
Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cittadella - Alessandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
Cittadella has the most likely position - 10 (28.31%), has project points - 54, has currently - 48, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (51.69%), has project points - 33, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (47%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has small quality25, importance32, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Cittadella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alessandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cittadella will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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