The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 35.5%
Draw 33.4%
Südtirol-Alto Adige 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
29.4%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
30.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
70%
20%
Cittadella - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 6. Matino E. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 37. Palmieri R. 32. Masciangelo E. 31. Okwonkwo O. 5. Casolari F.
31. Adamonis M. (G) 20. Belardinelli L. 19. Pietrangeli N. 5. Masiello A. 79. Molina S. 99. Praszelik M. 28. Kofler R. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 3. Barreca A. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.
Substitutes
45. Cardinali M. (G) 11. Desogus J. 78. Maniero L. (G) 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 74. Sanogo A. 25. Scarpa N. 18. Tessiore A. 17. Tronchin S. 20. Voltan D.
23. Ceppitelli L. 14. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 2. El Kaouakibi H. 30. Giorgini A. 9. Gori G. 8. Mallamo A. 6. Martini J. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 18. Pyyhtia N. 7. Rover M. 21. Tait F.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.
Castori F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Pavan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
58', 0 - 1, Barreca A. ⚽,
59', 0 - 2, Matino E. (Own goal),
60', Casolari F. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Casiraghi D. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
63', Casiraghi D. 🟨,
64', Palmieri R. 🟨,
66', Casiraghi D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
66', Masiello A. ↓, Giorgini A. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Giorgini A. ⚽,
72', Odogwu R. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
72', Belardinelli L. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
73', Vita A. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
73', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
76', 0 - 5, Giorgini A. ⚽, Pyyhtia N. (A),
79', Barreca A. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
84', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
85', Masciangelo E. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 5, Desogus J. ⚽, Rabbi S. (A),
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Südtirol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Capradossi E.
(Ankle Injury)
Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Diaw D.
(Inactive)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Pandolfi L.
(Yellow Cards)
Salvi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Tronchin S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
Davi S.
(Injury)
Kurtic J.
(Injury)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.2:2).
Italy
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Kastrati E. (G) 
Matino E. 
Okwonkwo O. 
Adamonis M. (G) 
Praszelik M. 
El Kaouakibi H. 
Pyyhtia N. 
