Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Clermont		Red Star

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.10	1.85	Watch
	3.90	3.25	1.95
	3.75	3.35	1.97	Watch
	4.36	3.30	1.99
	3.69	3.37	2.01	Watch
	4.25	3.20	1.97
	3.84	3.40	1.94	Watch
	3.80	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.45)	3.28 ↑ (3.22)	1.95 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
23.7%

Draw
28.5%

Red Star
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Clermont - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Red Star will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29% – 96%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (3.40) (votes: 78%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 93. Coulibaly I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 4. Kabeya E. 6. Kone E. H. 5. Grillot J. 77. Cantero E. 26. Kouame R. 22. Admar M. 7. Bianchini F. 9. Semedo L.	16. Poussin G. (G) 2. Magnin T. 20. Durivaux D. 5. Escartin J. 4. Zidane E. 19. Halifa I. 17. Renel S. 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. 7. Durand D. (C) 23. Ikanga J.
Substitutes
13. Astic J. 17. Diop O. 23. Hunou A. 28. M'Bahia I. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 39. Nyindong Tsamouna J. 90. Okou C. 3. Pelmard A. 10. Sambia J.	1. Benchaouch Y. (G) 80. Bianay Balcot C. 25. Buta L. 6. Danger B. 9. Despotovic I. 3. Huard M. 45. Konate C. 27. Kyeremeh G. 21. Sabaly I.
Coaches
Guion D.	Perrinelle D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Ikanga J. ⚽, Renel S. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Cantero E. ⚽, Kouame R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Durand D. ⚽, Ikanga J. (A),
63', Semedo L. ↓, Okou C. ↑,
63', Admar M. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Ikanga J. ⚽,
69', Renel S. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
69', Khaoui S. ↓, Sabaly I. ↑,
70', Kouame R. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
70', Cantero E. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
77', Durand D. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
77', Ikanga J. ↓, Despotovic I. ↑,
78', Guivarch T. 🟨,
78', Bianchini F. 🟨,
80', Zidane E. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
82', Grillot J. ↓, M'Bahia I. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Bianchini F. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Escartin J. 🟨,
90+3', Halifa I. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Ligue 3 and 3rd in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1.

Clermont has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Red Star shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Clermont may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Red Star holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Clermont: Ackra A. (Injury) Baallal A. (Knock) Bellache Y. (Inactive) Bouchenna M. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Knee Injury) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Kouame R. (Inactive) Pelmard A. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Red Star: Konate C. (Inactive) Lemonnier P. (Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Clermont has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Clermont against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Red Star	9	5	2	2	12:10	2	17
16	Clermont	9	0	7	2	9:12	-3	7

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.91% Clermont: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Clermont - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.71%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Red Star - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Auxerre - Clermont	4:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Grenoble - Clermont	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Clermont - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Dunkerque - Clermont	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Clermont - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Guingamp - Red Star	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Laval - Red Star	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Red Star - Reims	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.03.26	Clermont - Red Star	0:1
22.11.25	Red Star - Clermont	2:2
25.04.25	Red Star - Clermont	1:1
24.09.24	Clermont - Red Star	1:1
15.03.19	Red Star - Clermont	0:4
19.10.18	Clermont - Red Star	0:0
13.01.17	Red Star - Clermont	1:3

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