Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 30

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Inver Park (Larne)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Larne		Carrick Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	5.15
	1.59	4.08	5.44
	1.55	4.15	5.03	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.51	3.84	5.65
	1.45	4.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	4.01 ↓ (4.21)	5.38 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Larne
59.9%

Draw
23%

Carrick Rangers
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

21%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Larne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Larne - Carrick Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carrick Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. 15. Doherty R. 4. Donnelly A. 11. Graham S. 22. McEneff J. 21. Millar L. 9. O'Neill P. 3. Ridley M. 29. Ryan A. 47. Simpson J.	1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 4. Burns B. 19. Crowe J. 9. Gibson D. 22. Heatley P. 12. McCullough L. 34. Olosunde M. 2. Place M. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.
Substitutes
26. Bent D. 36. Graham D. (G) 30. Lusty M. 7. McKendry C. 10. O'Connor T. 25. Sloan D. 46. Wallace L.	20. Cherry K. 33. Donnelly L. (G) 23. Glendinning R. 30. Hawthorne C. 35. Jeffers R. 29. McCawl E. 40. Moore J.
Coaches
Haveron G.	Baxter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, Gibson D. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Crowe J. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Heatley P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Millar L. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
46', Doherty R. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
46', O'Neill P. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
46', Ryan A. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, O'Connor T. ⚽,
66', Crowe J. ↓, Cherry K. ↑,
70', Olosunde M. ↓, Moore J. ↑,
76', Place M. 🟨,
77', Simpson J. ↓, Bent D. ↑,
81', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', Steele A. 🟨,
90+5', Gartside N. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 3, Bent D. ⚽,

Preview

Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Larne has had a series of away games.

Recently, Carrick Rangers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Larne is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:12. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 1.8:0.2).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Larne: 29.31% Carrick Rangers: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Larne	6	5	1	0	12:3	9	16
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15:15	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Larne - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.89%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
14.02.26	Portadown - Larne	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Larne - Glentoran	2:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Ballymena United - Larne	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
31.01.26	Crusaders - Larne	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWW
- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
14.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	1:4 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
03.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Bangor	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Portadown - Carrick Rangers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:2
20.09.25	Larne - Carrick Rangers	2:0
04.03.25	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:0
04.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:2
26.12.24	Larne - Carrick Rangers	0:0
26.12.23	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:2
20.10.23	Larne - Carrick Rangers	2:0

Upcoming Matches