Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Club América		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.82	3.6	4
	2.02	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.67	3.65
	1.8	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.96	3.64	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	3.67 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club América
48.4%

Draw
26.2%

Pachuca
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Club América - Pachuca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - América (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Club América will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 8. Fidalgo A. (C) 26. Borja C. 10. Zendejas A. 31. Lichnovsky I. 28. Sanchez E. 27. Aguirre R. 7. Rodriguez B. 34. Espinoza D.	25. Moreno C. (C) 2. Barreto S. D. 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 28. Montiel E. 3. Aceves A. 41. Carvalho W. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 9. Hernandez I. 23. Quinones L. 18. Dominguez A. 11. Idrissi O.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez K. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 11. Davila V. 6. dos Santos J. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 12. Violante I. 19. Zuniga J.	26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 8. Guzman V. 29. Kenedy 199. Mendez D. 5. Pedraza P. 24. Rodriguez L. 14. Sanchez C. 32. Togni G.
Coaches
Jardine A.	Lozano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Lichnovsky I. ⚽, Zendejas A. (A),
34', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dominguez A. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
60', Rodriguez B. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
60', Aguirre R. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
60', Carvalho W. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
61', Idrissi O. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
65', Sanchez E. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽,
74', Aceves A. 🟨,
75', Quinones L. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
79', Sanchez E. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
89', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
90', Zendejas A. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
90', Fidalgo A. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 2.

América has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pachuca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

América may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.

In this match, América is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in América: Martin H. (Muscle Injury) Naveda S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Seoane J. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, América won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Club América - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.74%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
24.08.25	Atlas - Club América	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Tigres UANL - Club América	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Club América - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Club América - Portland Timbers	2:1 penalties ✺
02.08.25	Club América - Minnesota United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
23.08.25	Club León - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
20.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Pachuca - Tijuana	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Atlas - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
10.05.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0
07.05.25	Pachuca - Club América	0:0
05.04.25	Pachuca - Club América	1:0
06.11.24	Club América - Pachuca	2:1
11.05.24	Club América - Pachuca	1:1
08.05.24	Pachuca - Club América	1:1
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.04.24	Pachuca - Club América	2:1

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