The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club León 27.6%
Draw 26.8%
Club América 45.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
27%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
27.1%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Club León - Club América Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (C) 7. Moreno I. 14. Romana J. 3. Guevara J. 26. Reyes S. 29. Rodriguez I. 18. Guerra E. 20. Echeverria R. 203. Lara J. 13. Arcila D. 27. Cambindo D.
1. Malagon L. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 14. Bueno S. 15. Ramos S. 24. Rossano F. 28. Sanchez E. 3. Reyes I. 10. Zendejas A. 8. Alvarez C. 7. Rodriguez B. 9. Martin H. (C)
Substitutes
19. Alvarado A. 25. Bellon P. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 4. Colula B. 11. Diaz I. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 21. Londono S. 181. Martinez I. (G) 5. Vegas S. 33. Villegas A.
5. Alvarez K. 26. Borja C. 6. Cerrillo E. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 2. Lara E. 22. Perea O. 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I.
Coaches
Gandolfi J.
Almada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Martin H. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Romana J. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Alvarez C. ⚽, Martin H. (A),
45+3', Arcila D. 🟨,
45+6', Rossano F. 🟨,
45+7', Reyes I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Lara J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Alvarado A. ⚽, Arcila D. (A),
58', 1 - 3, Sanchez E. ⚽, Alvarez C. (A),
61', Guevara J. 🟨,
63', Rodriguez I. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
63', Guerra E. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
74', Sanchez E. ↓, Cerrillo E. ↑,
75', Rossano F. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
75', Zendejas A. 🟨,
75', Arcila D. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
80', Zendejas A. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Moreno I. ⚽,
83', Alvarez C. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
83', Reyes I. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Perea O. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
90', 2 - 5, Rodriguez B. ⚽, Perea O. (A),
90+1', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
90+1', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 5, Diaz I. ⚽, Beltran Cruz F. (A),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
León could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with América holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for León: Cortizo J.
(Red Card)
Valadez L.
(Foot Injury).
Confirmed absences for América: Miguel Borja
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for León: Estrada A.
(Broken Leg).
Doubtful / questionable for América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, León has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for León against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
14
8
4
2
34:19
15
28
6
Club Leon
14
6
4
4
21:18
3
22
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Club America: 19.91% Club Leon: 5.31%
Last Results with these Odds
Club León - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Club América - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Garcia O. (C) 
Romana J. 
Echeverria R. 
Bueno S. 
Ramos S. 
Zendejas A. 
Alvarez C. 
Diaz I. 
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