Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Colón		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
	2.95	3.2	2.35
	2.75	3.15	2.5
	2.99	3.11	2.65
	2.88	3.24	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.51 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
32.9%

Draw
29.4%

Boca Juniors
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Colón - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Colón has the most likely position - 25 (8.11%), has project points - 31, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Boca Juniors has the most likely position - 5 (9.36%), has project points - 44, has currently - 26, has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 19, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 0.

Recent matches Colón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Colón: Meza E. (Injury) Novillo J. (Injury) Vega C. (Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Colón won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 4-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.22	Barracas Central - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Colón - Tigre	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Central Córdoba - Colón	3:0 ✺
11.08.22	Colón - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Newells Old Boys - Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTT
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.22	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
17.08.22	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Racing - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
10.08.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.02.22	Boca Juniors - Colón	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.21	Boca Juniors - Colón	1:0
28.02.20	Colón - Boca Juniors	0:4
30.09.18	Boca Juniors - Colón	3:1
27.01.18	Boca Juniors - Colón	2:0
18.12.16	Boca Juniors - Colón	4:1
08.03.15	Colón - Boca Juniors	1:1

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