Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 14Date: 16 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Colón Montevideo |
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La Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.85 |
2.60 |
|
 |
2.65 |
2.82 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.68 |
3.16 |
2.69 |
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 |
2.65 |
3.18 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
2.55 |
3.05 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.02 |
2.68 |
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 |
2.65 |
2.85 |
2.55 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.38) |
2.99 ↑
(2.88) |
2.62 ↓
(2.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Colón Montevideo
34.6% | Draw
30.6% | La Luz
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Colón Montevideo - La Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 🟥,
- 42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colón won 3.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Colón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Colón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.5:0.2).Including home matches between the teams, Colón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Colon | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 30 |
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| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 27 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 09.05.26 | La Luz - Colón Montevideo | 0:0 | | 10.08.25 | La Luz - Colón Montevideo | 0:1 | | 17.05.25 | Colón Montevideo - La Luz | 1:0 | | 13.04.25 | Colón Montevideo - La Luz | 1:1 | | 16.11.24 | Colón Montevideo - La Luz | 5:0 | | 27.07.24 | La Luz - Colón Montevideo | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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