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Current Win Probability
Notts County 59.9%
Draw 23.5%
Newport County 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
22.4%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
21.3%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Notts County - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O. 18. Palmer M. (C) 47. Bennetts K. 14. Iorpenda T. 11. Grant C. 39. Ndlovu L.
28. Wright J. (G) 12. Thomas J. 4. Baker M. (C) 17. Davies T. 15. Jenkins L. 5. Sprangler S. 8. Smith M. 19. Garner G. 10. Biggins H. 7. Kamwa B. 24. Opoku N.
Substitutes
23. Browne L. 19. Dennis M. 22. Enoru B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 53. Iwunze H. 16. Luker J.
6. Brennan C. 16. Crole J. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Evans C. 20. Lloyd B. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 21. Spellman M.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Fuchs Ch.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Ness L. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Ness L. ⚽, Bennetts K. (A),
36', Smith M. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Davies T. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
46', Garner G. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
60', Biggins H. 🟨,
64', Grant C. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Lloyd B. ⚽, Opoku N. (A),
68', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
76', Sprangler S. 🟨,
77', Kamwa B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
77', Ndlovu L. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
84', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Luker J. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
88', Sprangler S. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
90+5', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
90+6', Crole J. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Notts County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Notts County has had a series of away games.
In this match, Notts County is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Jones J.
(Inactive)
Platt M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
Tangen H.
(Inactive)
Tsaroulla N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Jenkins L.
(Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
United-kingdom
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Belshaw J. (G) 
Macari L. 
Bedeau J. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Bennetts K. 
Grant C. 
Ndlovu L. 
Thomas J. 
Sprangler S. 
Kamwa B. 
Opoku N. 
Hall T. 
Paterson M. 
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