Match Info

League Two - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Wright P. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.7	3.8
	1.78	3.7	4.15
	1.83	3.45	4.28	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.86	3.71	3.82	Watch
	1.84	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	3.6 ↓ (3.61)	3.99 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
50.9%

Draw
25.8%

Harrogate Town
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harrogate Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. 25. Ruffels J. 20. Kabia I. 14. Perry T. 16. Freeman N. 6. Clucas S. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 27. Marquis J. (C) 19. Morgan I.	13. Gray H. (G) 26. Horton G. 15. O'Connor A. 12. Acquah E. 8. Morris B. 31. Heffernan C. 7. Thomson G. (C) 22. Smith R. 4. Evans J. 16. Headman C. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 3. Benning M. 1. Cox M. (G) 38. England I. 43. Gray W. 9. Lloyd G. 7. McDermott T.	10. Bennett M. 6. Burrell W. 24. Cass L. 25. Cursons T. 44. Falkingham J. 14. McAleny C. 1. Oxley M. (G)
Coaches
Appleton M.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Evans J. 🟨,
23', Headman C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Evans J. 🟨,
61', Horton G. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Perry T. ⚽, Ruffels J. (A),
70', Smith R. 🟨,
74', Morgan I. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
76', Acquah E. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
83', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
89', O'Connor A. 🟨,
90+3', O'Connor A. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
90+4', Clucas S. 🟨,
90+4', Marquis J. 🟨,
90+5', McDermott T. 🟨,
90+5', Thomson G. 🟨,
90+6', Cass L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Harrogate has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shrewsbury is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Shrewsbury: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 21.66%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	6:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.26	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:3 ✺
29.12.25	Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Harrogate Town
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
10.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.09.25	Harrogate Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0

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