Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.95
	3.9	3.2	1.98
	4.2	3.15	1.95
	3.85	3.2	1.97
	4.29	3.26	2.02
	3.9	3.2	2
	4.05	3.42	2.02	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.99)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
23.5%

Draw
29%

Stevenage Borough
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

30.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	10.5%	57.9%

Gillingham - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 20 (7.44%), has project points - 54, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stevenage has the most likely position - 3 (10.6%), has project points - 79, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 36, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2.

Gillingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stevenage in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Stevenage could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stevenage have a series of home games.

Stevenage will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English EFL Trophy
11.10.22	Gillingham - Colchester United	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
08.10.22	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Gillingham - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:2 ✺
English League Two
01.10.22	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Hartlepool United - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWWT
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
08.10.22	Stevenage Borough - Swindon Town	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Stevenage Borough - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Stevenage Borough - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.19	Stevenage Borough - Gillingham	Canceled
English FA Cup
07.11.15	Stevenage Borough - Gillingham	3:0
English EFL Trophy
02.09.14	Stevenage Borough - Gillingham	0:1
English League One
04.02.14	Stevenage Borough - Gillingham	3:1
26.11.13	Gillingham - Stevenage Borough	3:2

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