Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.79	2.85	5.50
	1.85	3.00	4.40
	1.90	3.05	4.50
	1.84	2.98	6.06
	1.93	2.77	5.38	Watch
	1.78	2.95	6.00
	1.84	2.91	5.51
	1.81	2.85	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	5.32 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
50.6%

Draw
31.9%

Colegiales
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

30.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlanta Buenos Aires will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Previtali N. 10. Bernardi C. 7. Alvarez F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Rodriguez I.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Insua E. 8. Ocampo E. 5. Marin F. 10. Castillo L. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Albertengo M. 9. Toloza N.
Substitutes
17. Bisanz F. 20. Castro F. 18. Dramisino A. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 14. Mendoza G. 19. Morales A. 13. Ostachuk P. 15. Rivero B. 16. Sosa R.	13. Aguirre E. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 18. Gonzalez L. 14. Hanashiro F. 19. Mamani M. 20. Monserrat R. E. 15. Montiel F. 16. Ramirez M. 17. Zicarelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Trinidad E. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Rodriguez I. ⚽, Bernardi C. (A),
64', Albertengo M. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
64', Ocampo E. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
65', Bernardi C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
71', Monserrat R. E. 🟨,
71', Castillo L. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
71', Trinidad E. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
72', Alvarez F. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
77', Insua E. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez I. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
83', Arguello D. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Colegiales has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Colegiales - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 20.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.26	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Club Almagro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWT
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.26	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.02.26	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
12.07.25	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
11.03.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
04.05.19	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales	3:0
27.11.18	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
27.01.18	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:3
04.09.17	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales	0:0

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