The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comerciantes Belén 51.7%
Draw 27.3%
Juan Pablo II College 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.6%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
24%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Belén's form might have worsened.
Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Comerciantes Belén - Juan Pablo II College Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gentilio N. (G) 28. Chipao R. 18. Flores A. 20. Herrera Joel 23. Lemos M. 10. Lugo K. 31. Navarro J. 12. Salas L. 7. Sanchez D. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 9. Zambrano J.
23. Vega M. (G) 7. Aguero J. 26. Agurto F. 25. Alfani R. 5. Anton P. 27. Canova J. 24. Collante G. 28. Duran J. (C) 49. Guevara A. 18. Rodriguez F. 13. Rodriguez N.
Substitutes
22. Catashunga J. 11. Cenepo G. 24. Flores L. 27. Lopez J. 29. Perea M. 8. Quiroz A. 4. Saffadi D. 36. Silva J. (G) 17. Vela P.
11. Aliaga R. 8. Alva P. 9. Burga E. 20. Chuna L. 1. Cordova A. (G) 31. Cubas H. 4. Torres C. 21. Valderrama A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lemos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sanchez D. ↓, Perea M. ↑,
62', Lugo K. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑,
62', Salas L. ↓, Vela P. ↑,
70', Aguero J. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
71', Lemos M. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
71', Herrera Joel ↓, Flores L. ↑,
83', Collante G. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
85', 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Recent matches Comerciantes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Juan Pablo II College is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Juan Pablo II College could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Comerciantes is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Comerciantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Comerciantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
Watch
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Gentilio N. (G) 
Chipao R. 
Lugo K. 
Vega M. (G) 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
