Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 1

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Max Augustin (Iquitos)


	Comerciantes Belén		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.50	6.25
	1.47	4.10	5.60
	1.39	4.37	6.12
	1.33	4.40	7.00
	1.44	4.61	6.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	4.4 ↑ (4.33)	6.28 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
64.9%

Draw
20.7%

Sporting Cristal
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

20.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Comerciantes (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Comerciantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Moretti J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Acosta A. ⚽,
65', del Valle Y. 🟥,

Preview

In recent matches, Comerciantes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting Cristal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Comerciantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Comerciantes is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
22.05.26	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Unión Minas - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTT
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
15.05.26	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

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