Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo)

Referee: Ureta D. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Comerciantes Unidos		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	2.08	2.98	3.85	Watch
	2.08	3.06	4.15
	2.23	3.07	3.46	Watch
	2	3	3.8
	2.1	2.92	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	3.83 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
44.5%

Draw
31.1%

Alianza Atlético
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alianza Atlético (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Alianza Atlético (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Alianza Atlético (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Alianza Atlético (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. (C) 16. F. Rojas 18. Rodriguez A. 5. Correa Flores C. A. 19. Lino D. 14. Salinas T. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 25. Vilca R.	1. Hermoza E. (G) 4. Villegas J. C. 2. Suarez R. 19. Mendieta J. 25. Guzman W. 16. Fernandez S. (C) 8. Flores F. 24. Gordillo A. 17. Penilla C. 7. Coronel F. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A.
Substitutes
4. Arias A. 8. Ayovi W. 7. Carranza M. 99. Charun J. (G) 15. Cossio A. 11. Herrera J. 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 9. Sen M.	22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 6. Lujan J. 15. Lupu H. 20. Perez J. 21. Perleche E. 95. Prieto D. (G) 9. Robaldo V. 77. Valladolid C.
Coaches
Biaggio C.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Correa Flores C. A. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
51', Villegas J. C. 🟥,
54', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, F. Rojas (A),
66', Vilca R. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
71', Salinas T. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
71', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
75', Gordillo A. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
79', Flores F. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
79', Penilla C. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
81', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
86', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
86', Fernandez S. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
87', Lino D. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
90+12', Cordova M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2.

Comerciantes Unidos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alianza Atlético's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Comerciantes Unidos is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Diaz G. (Red Card)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.26	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sport Huancayo - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TTTWL
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	América de Cali - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
18.10.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	1:0
12.06.25	Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0
23.09.24	Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0
23.04.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	0:0
Peruvian Liga 2
11.12.20	Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2
10.11.19	Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos	4:1
23.08.19	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	3:1

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