Match Info

Serie A - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab


	Lazio		Como

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.7	Watch
	3.05	2.88	2.68
	3.02	2.88	2.71	Watch
	2.88	2.7	2.75	Watch
	3.15	2.93	2.81
	3.1	2.83	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.68)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)	2.72 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
31.5%

Draw
33.4%

Como
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	45.2%	29%

Lazio - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 16 - 25.8%). Como will win (votes: 18 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 45.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.8% – 57.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Como (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Como (1.73) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lazio (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Como (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 21. Belahyane R. 32. Cataldi D. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 20. Ratkov P. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 3. Valle A. 6. Caqueret M. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 20. Baturina M.
Substitutes
7. Dele-Bashiru F. 71. Farcomeni V. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 6. Rovella N. 17. Tavares N.	99. Cerri A. 4. Dossena A. 11. Douvikas A. 2. Kempf M. O. 19. Kuhn N. 55. Le Borgne A. 18. Moreno A. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Valle A. (A),
21', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
22', Smolcic I. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Paz N. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
35', Paz N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
44', Cataldi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Smolcic I. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Paz N. ⚽, Baturina M. (A),
53', Cancellieri M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
53', Ratkov P. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
54', Cataldi D. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
59', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
67', Caqueret M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
74', Baturina M. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
76', Posch S. 🟨,
81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
82', Paz N. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
86', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
90', Valle A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Como is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Patric (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Thigh Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury) Morata A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lazio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.45% Lazio: 0.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Verona - Lazio	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Udinese - Lazio	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lazio - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Pisa - Como	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Como - Udinese	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0
10.01.25	Lazio - Como	1:1
31.10.24	Como - Lazio	1:5

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