Match Info

Serie A - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	14:45	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Arena 4
Indonesia	02:45	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	22:45	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	TV 360, VTVcab


	Lazio		Como

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.7	Watch
	3.05	2.88	2.68
	3.02	2.88	2.71	Watch
	2.88	2.7	2.75	Watch
	3.15	2.93	2.81
	3.1	2.83	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.68)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)	2.72 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
31.5%

Draw
33.4%

Como
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	45.2%	29%

Lazio - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 16 - 25.8%). Como will win (votes: 18 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 45.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.8% – 57.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Como (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Como (1.73) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lazio (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Como (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 21. Belahyane R. 32. Cataldi D. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 20. Ratkov P. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 3. Valle A. 6. Caqueret M. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 20. Baturina M.
Substitutes
7. Dele-Bashiru F. 71. Farcomeni V. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 6. Rovella N. 17. Tavares N.	99. Cerri A. 4. Dossena A. 11. Douvikas A. 2. Kempf M. O. 19. Kuhn N. 55. Le Borgne A. 18. Moreno A. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Valle A. (A),
21', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
22', Smolcic I. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Paz N. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
35', Paz N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
44', Cataldi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Smolcic I. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Paz N. ⚽, Baturina M. (A),
53', Cancellieri M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
53', Ratkov P. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
54', Cataldi D. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
59', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
67', Caqueret M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
74', Baturina M. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
76', Posch S. 🟨,
81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
82', Paz N. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
86', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
90', Valle A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Como is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Patric (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Thigh Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury) Morata A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lazio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	15	25
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	9	20

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 5.43% Lazio: 4.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Verona - Lazio	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Udinese - Lazio	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lazio - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Pisa - Como	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Como - Udinese	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Como - Lazio	2:0
10.01.25	Lazio - Como	1:1
31.10.24	Como - Lazio	1:5

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