Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport


	Como		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.4
	3	3	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.37
	3.17	3.21	2.49
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	3.1	3.08	2.44	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.43 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Como
31.5%

Draw
29.9%

Frosinone
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

30.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

31.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Como that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	36.4%	63.6%

Como - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Como has the most likely position - 14 (9.1%), has project points - 46, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (79.24%), has project points - 75, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very good chance of promoted (96%), has a good chance of win league (79%).

This event has quality 36, importance 47, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
28.01.23	Brescia - Como	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Como - Pisa	2:2 ✺
14.01.23	Cagliari - Como	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Como - Tritium	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
26.12.22	Como - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLWW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.01.23	Frosinone - Benevento	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Brescia - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
14.01.23	Frosinone - Modena	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Frosinone - Ternana	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Genoa - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Frosinone - Como	2:0
16.02.22	Frosinone - Como	1:2
17.09.21	Como - Frosinone	0:2
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Frosinone - Como	3:0
17.08.14	Frosinone - Como	0:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches