Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Confiança		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	2.8	2.85	2.55	Watch
	2.9	2.86	2.75
	2.83	2.83	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	2.78	3.19	2.52	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
32.4%

Draw
31.7%

São Bernardo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Confiança - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeferson Souza (G) 15. Adryan 8. Andre 4. Eduardo Junho 5. Fabio Silva 6. Felippe Borges 10. Italo 2. Lucas Mendes 3. Raphael 7. Vico 11. Willians Santana (C)	12. Junior Oliveira (G) 91. Alan Santos 44. Anderson Conceicao 6. Arthur Henrique 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 33. Kaua Jesus 99. Kayke 8. Rodrigo Souza (C) 17. Romisson 88. Silvinho
Substitutes
13. Afonso 21. Douglas 14. Eduardo 19. Hyuri 20. Julio Rusch 16. Junior 18. Luiz Otavio 22. Pedro Rodrigues 17. Riquelmo 12. Thiago Braga (G) 9. Thiago Santos	27. Anareto K. (G) 97. Augusto 19. Cristaldo J. 43. Joao Ramos 75. Maycon Douglas 22. Mika 20. Nycollas 4. Rafael Forster 10. Vitinho Mesquita 70. Walterson 18. Wendell
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Eduardo Junho ⚽,
20', Fabio Silva ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
36', Romisson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alan Santos ↓, Rafael Forster ↑,
46', Willians Santana ↓, Riquelmo ↑,
53', Eduardo Junho 🟨,
56', Raphael ↓, Afonso ↑,
63', Vico ↓, Julio Rusch ↑,
63', Italo ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
68', Romisson 🟨,
70', Anderson Conceicao ↓, Walterson ↑,
70', Silvinho ↓, Mika ↑,
74', Junior Oliveira 🟨,
76', Kaua Jesus ↓, Vitinho Mesquita ↑,
76', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Cristaldo J. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Thiago Santos ⚽,
82', Arthur Henrique 🟨,
86', Julio Rusch 🟨,
90+6', Vitinho Mesquita 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

São Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )

Two teams are playing changeable.

São Bernardo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.24	Confiança - Remo	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Athletic Club - Confiança	3:0 ✺
31.07.24	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Confiança - Volta Redonda	4:1 ✺
22.07.24	Confiança - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWT
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	3:0 ✺
04.08.24	São Bernardo - Caxias	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	ABC - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	São Bernardo - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Volta Redonda - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
20.05.23	São Bernardo - Confiança	3:1

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