Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 31

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Coritiba		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.82	3.2	4.55
	1.9	3.21	5.01
	1.76	3.23	4.83	Watch
	1.85	3.26	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	4.57 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
50.8%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Goianiense
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético GO (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Coritiba (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 73. Zeca 70. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 10. Josue 25. Clayson 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Iury Castilho	1. Vitor P. (G) 2. Jean Dias 3. Tito 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme Romao (C) 5. Luizao 8. Ronald 10. Robert Conceicao 7. Martinez F. 9. Lele 11. Yuri Alves
Substitutes
49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 5. Geovane 16. Joao Almeida 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista	19. Danielzinho 16. Heron 18. Kauan Rodrigues 20. Kelvin 15. Pedro Henrique 17. Radsley 22. Rai Natalino 21. Talisson 13. Valdir Junior 12. Vladimir (G) 14. Wallace
Coaches
Mozart	Rafael Lacerda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Adriano Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yuri Alves ↓, Talisson ↑,
58', Iury Castilho ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
64', Gomez S. 🟨,
69', Alex Silva ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
69', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
69', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
70', Robert Conceicao ↓, Kauan Rodrigues ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Dellatorre ⚽, Clayson (A),
74', de Pena C. 🟨,
78', Clayson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
79', Luizao ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
80', Jean Dias ↓, Kelvin ↑,
88', Martinez F. ↓, Valdir Junior ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Josue (Pen),
90+5', 2 - 1, Tito ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2.

Recent performances by Coritiba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético GO is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Coritiba is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.25	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Avaí - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Coritiba - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	América Mineiro - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Coritiba - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLT
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Remo - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
11.09.22	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
21.05.22	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	2:0
25.02.21	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	3:1
31.10.20	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.19	Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
03.05.19	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	1:1

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