Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 31

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Coritiba		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.23	3.66	2.25
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	3.16	3.56	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.16)	3.59 ↑ (3.43)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
30.7%

Draw
26.3%

Grêmio
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	41.7%	33.3%

Coritiba - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Grêmio will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel (G) 29. Diogo Batista 14. Thalisson 3. Henrique 26. Victor Luis 8. Willian Farias (C) 17. Matheus Bianqui 19. Gomez S. 10. Marcelino Moreno 33. Mauricio 30. Robson	12. Gabriel Grando (G) 34. Bruno Alves 3. Pedro Geromel (C) 4. Walter Kannemann 2. Fabio 20. Villasanti M. 23. Pepe 6. Reinaldo 19. Cristaldo F. 9. Suarez L. 13. Everton Galdino
Substitutes
7. Andrey 6. Bruno Gomes 99. Edu 15. Fransergio 83. Jamerson 47. Jean Pedroso 11. Jese 27. Luan Polli (G) 21. Lucas Barbosa 4. Reynaldo 22. Samaris A. 9. Slimani I.	77. Andre 22. Besozzi L. 15. Bruno Uvini 31. Caique (G) 8. Carballo F. 54. Cuiabano 10. Ferreira 18. Joao Pedro 11. Joao Pedro 48. Josue S. 7. Luan 32. Ribeiro N.
Coaches
Kosloski T.	Renato Portaluppi

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia (Injury) Thiago Dombroski (Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Carballo F. (Injury) Cuiabano (Injury) Ely R. (Injury) Felipe Scheibig (Injury) Mila (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.23	Internacional RS - Coritiba	3:4 ✺
26.10.23	Santos - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Coritiba - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Coritiba - Cuiabá	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Mineiro - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WLLLW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
28.10.23	América Mineiro - Grêmio	3:4 ✺
25.10.23	Grêmio - Flamengo	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	São Paulo - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
18.10.23	Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Internacional RS - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
25.06.23	Grêmio - Coritiba	5:1
31.01.21	Coritiba - Grêmio	1:1
07.10.20	Grêmio - Coritiba	2:1
15.10.17	Coritiba - Grêmio	0:1
22.06.17	Grêmio - Coritiba	2:0
07.09.16	Coritiba - Grêmio	4:0
29.05.16	Grêmio - Coritiba	2:0

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