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Current Win Probability
Flamengo 79.5%
Draw 13.9%
Mirassol 6.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
22.3%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
21.6%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Flamengo - Mirassol Predictions
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira (C) 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 15. Carrascal J. 20. Lucas Paqueta 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 96. Carlos Eduardo 27. Denilson 55. Cazonatti G. 17. Fernandinho 9. Andre Luis
Substitutes
27. Bruno Henrique 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 77. Goes J. 99. Lorran 7. Luiz Araujo 8. Niguez S.
77. Alesson 23. Alex Muralha (G) 30. Bruno Santos 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 18. Elias 19. Gustavo Silva 5. Japa 2. Lucas Oliveira 7. Shaylon 12. Victor Luis 80. Wallisson
Coaches
Jardim L.
Rafael Guanaes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽, Pedro (A),
31', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Evertton Araujo ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
46', Walter ↓, Alex Muralha ↑,
46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Shaylon ↑,
62', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
66', Joao Victor 🟨,
66', Igor Formiga ↓, Elias ↑,
73', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
73', Carrascal J. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
79', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Santos ↑,
79', Cazonatti G. ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
81', Denilson 🟨,
82', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
Preview
Flamengo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mirassol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Flamengo: Jorginho
(Thigh Injury)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Daniel Borges
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Eduardo
(Injury)
Igor Formiga
(Inactive)
Reinaldo
(Injury)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Yuri Lara
(Red Card)
We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Flamengo RJ
29
18
7
4
57:25
32
61
15
Mirassol
29
8
9
12
34:43
-9
33
Last Results with these Odds
Flamengo - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.31%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Rossi A. (G) 
Varela G. 
Leo Ortiz 
Pulgar E. 
Jorginho 
Carrascal J. 
Niguez S. 
Jardim L. 
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